Do mutual fund flows affect the French corporate bond market?

We study whether investors’ withdrawals from mutual funds affect corporate bond prices. As mutual funds have become major players in the financial markets, they are likely to exert downward pressures on asset prices when facing investors’ redemptions, particularly in the less liquid markets such as corporate bonds. We use a novel dataset on the French bond funds and show that both flows in and out of mutual funds lead to a significant effect on the corporate bond yields. This effect is asymmetric as redemptions provoke a change in yields of greater magnitude than inflows. Moreover, all corporate bonds are not equally affected by investors’ withdrawals from funds: The more a bond is detained by funds, the higher the impact of redemptions on its yield. These three results are robust to various changes in econometric specifications.     

Insurance activity,real output,and geopolitical risk: Fresh evidence from BRICS

This paper fills some empirical gaps by evaluating the causal associations among insurance premiums, real output, and geopolitical risk in BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) from 1985 to 2017. We utilize a newly-developed Granger-causality quantile analysis to assess the causal relationships among the series under consideration in each distribution quantile. Our empirical results reveal unidirectional causality that runs from real output and geopolitical risk to insurance activities in Brazil and South Africa. We also observe bi-directional lower-tail causality among real output, insurance premiums, and geopolitical risk in Russia. Findings also present bi-directional causality among real output, insurance premiums, and geopolitical risk at different quantiles. Knowledge of these causal relationships can prevent governments from conducting a ‘one-size-fits-all’ policy.     

Does the severity of a client’s negative environmental,social and governance reputation affect audit effort and audit quality?

In recent years, investors have begun to value companies’ reputations through their environmental, social, and governance (ESG) practices. ESG risk can affect business processes and controls and can heighten financial risk and threaten a firm’s survival. This study examines whether and how the severity of media coverage of a firm’s negative ESG issues (tainted ESG reputation) is associated with audit effort and audit quality. I find that auditors manage the higher expected engagement risk conveyed by tainted ESG reputation by applying higher audit effort. Next, I observe that the increased effort is associated with auditors likely detecting and requiring adjustments for material misstatements and that tainted ESG reputation is associated with fewer misstatements (i.e., reduces poor audit quality). The association between tainted ESG reputation and audit quality is driven primarily by increased audit report lag, not by increased audit fees. Further, I find that tainted ESG reputation is positively associated with audit effort and reduces poor audit quality for up to three years. The results also show that the audit effort and audit quality effect vary across the three components of ESG.     

Forecasting volatility and co-volatility of crude oil and gold futures: Effects of leverage,jumps, spillovers,and geopolitical risks

To forecast the covariance matrix for the returns of crude oil and gold futures, this paper examines the effects of leverage, jumps, spillovers, and geopolitical risks by using their respective realized covariance matrices. To guarantee the positive definiteness of the forecasts, we consider the full BEKK structure on the conditional Wishart model. By the specification, we can flexibly divide the direct and spillover effects of volatility feedback, negative returns, and jumps. The empirical analysis indicates the benefits of accommodating the spillover effects of negative returns, and the geopolitical risks indicator for modeling and forecasting the covariance matrix.     

Financial risk taking in the presence of correlated non-financial background risk

This paper characterizes the stochastic deterioration resulting from taking a zero-mean financial risk in the presence of correlated non-financial background risk. We show in particular that it has an equivalent stochastic order as well as a necessary and sufficient “integral condition” that implies and is implied by a particular sense in which the stochastic deterioration can be decomposed into a “correlation increase” and a “marginal risk increase”. We further characterize a measure of aversion to the stochastic deterioration. These characterizations provide for a more general framework for formulating concepts of increases in risk and correlation and for better understanding risk management decisions governed by individuals’ attitudes to them.     

P2P网络借贷研究文献综述

与传统的银行贷款相比,P2P网络借贷从其诞生之日起就伴随着各种争议。目前,P2P网络借贷是一个相对较新的研究领域。文章首先叙述了当前主要P2P在线平台的运营模式,此外从"硬因素"和"软因素"两方面来分别阐述它们对贷款成功率的影响,由此得出了借贷双方信息不对称、网络安全风险和借新账还旧账等P2P网络借贷的三大风险。最终,在总结已有的研究成果的基础上,提出了自己对P2P网络借贷未来发展和研究方向的见解。     

互联网金融信息安全风险及其防范

互联网金融在促进小微企业提升融资环境、优化金融资源配置、迎合个人投资需求、提高金融体系包容性、推动普惠金融发展、弥补传统银行融资渠道不足等方面具有不可替代的作用,但同时互联网金融却面临着账号被盗、资金被窃、交易受骗以及财产受损等诸多潜在的信息安全风险,这需要政府、企业和投资者三方共同努力,各司其职,对互联网金融信息安全风险进行防范,以更好地推动我国互联网金融健康快速发展。     

商检条款不容忽视——如何防范外商利用商品质量问题拖欠货款

商检条款是进出口贸易合同中的一项重要条款,然而又往往是买卖双方在订立合同时容易忽略的条款。本文阐述了商检条款的重要作用,订立商检条款所涉及到的主要问题,并提出了完善商检约定规避外贸风险的建议。     

防范国际贸易融资风险的对策分析

随着我国对外贸易发展和银行业竞争的加剧,国际贸易融资已经成为商业银行重点发展的一项金融业务。该业务不仅为进出口企业提供了融资便利,也拓展了银行业务,在经济全球化浪潮中贸易融资已被广泛培植为国际性商业银行的效益新增点。然而在贸易融资实践中也时刻潜伏着各种风险,若把握不好,进出口企业的贸易风险就会直接转嫁到银行身上。如何防范和控制贸易融资业务的风险成为银行拓展业务亟待解决的问题。尤其是在不断开发贸易融资创新业务的今天,这一问题显得尤为重要。本文着重分析银行在国际贸易融资过程中遇到的各种风险,探究有效控制和防范贸易融资潜在风险的对策,以推动贸易融资业务的发展与创新。     

论杠杆收购及其风险防范

杠杆收购具有高收益、高负债、高风险、高效率性以及收购公司不负担投资义务等特点。杠杆收购中存在还本、再筹资并购、支付成本、财务、信息等风险。在杠杆收购中应制定控制防范措施,重视杠杆收购目标企业的选择;采用科学的方法进行杠杆收购的估价评价;合理确定杠杆收购筹资的财务模式与重整和上市,以此对风险进行防范。